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United KingdomThe pound had a rocky August as the October 31st Brexit deadline drew nearer and the ongoing drama of Brexit intensified. Prime Minister Boris Johnson rocked the pound by staying firm on the path to leave without a deal if nothing was agreed by the 31st October
In July the pound continued its march lower as markets prepared for the prospect of a PM who would be more aligned with a no-deal Brexit outcome
The pound continues to weaken as talk of a no-deal outcome heats up and uncertainty continues. The fact is, we’re no closer to any resolution than when Theresa May resigned, and the 31st October is rapidly approaching.
March was a hive of Brexit activity in the House of Commons but the upshot is that we are no closer to an outcome. The pound fluctuated and towards the end of the month it managed to rally sharply as optimism for Theresa May’s deal being passed rose.
For the most part, February was the calm before the storm as Theresa May pushed back the meaningful vote to the end of the month. We saw little change in GBP volatility as the markets were left in wait and see mode.
